Vistra

Guggenheim analyst Shahriar Pourreza sets a $300 target for Vistra, implying about 119% upside, citing long-term nuclear and gas PPAs with AWS and Meta, the Cogentrix deal and the Helix JV with NVIDIA and KKR. Vistra shares are down around 15% YTD and under $140 after Q2 revenue and GAAP net income declined and management flagged a “meaningfully lower” 2027 outlook driven by weak ERCOT forward curves. Adjusted EBITDA rose and buyback capacity plus excluded deal synergies support the bullish case, while power-price risk, mark-to-market hedge losses and integration costs present clear downside risks. » Altro su finance.yahoo.com

Goldman Sachs forecasts U.S. data center power demand to more than double by 2027, boosting merchant power producers like Vistra that sell into wholesale markets. Vistra has secured long-term PPAs with Amazon Web Services and Meta, is acquiring Cogentrix to add about 5,500 MW, and joins Helix Digital Infrastructure as preferred power provider for AI data centers. These deals provide long-term cash flow visibility while analysts forecast EPS of $10.56 in 2027 and $12.36 in 2028, with the stock trading near 12 times 2027 projected earnings. » Altro su finance.yahoo.com

Vistra reported Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $1.767 billion, a more than 30% increase year‑over‑year, driven by stronger generation earnings and solid retail performance, and reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8–7.6 billion. The company committed up to $1 billion to Helix Digital Infrastructure, a partnership with KKR, NVIDIA and the Kuwait Investment Authority, to expand its data‑center strategy while retaining the option to pursue projects independently. Management noted structurally stronger electricity demand with record summer peaks in PJM and ERCOT but said meaningfully lower ERCOT forward prices are pushing Vistra toward the lower end of its 2027 EBITDA range, partly offset by PJM pricing, hedges and nuclear tax credits. Vistra plans significant capital deployment through 2027 for growth projects, shareholder returns and potential debt reduction, and expects to generate over $10 billion of available cash in 2026–2027. » Altro su finance.yahoo.com